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The case that AI skeptics are judging last spring’s models

A passage shared by Paul Graham predicts objections about conjecture, theory and explanation will stop applying within months.

6 Sources, 7d ago, first seen 7d ago

TLDR

Paul Graham shared a passage arguing that skeptics who say AI cannot conjecture, theorize or explain are judging models from last spring. The passage predicts those objections will apply to nobody within months and claims the evidence is already visible. It presents a confident forecast, not a demonstrated comparison of specific models.

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217.3K

6 Sources, first seen 7d ago

2.1K likes111 comments781 saves168 reposts

Reaction

The case that AI skeptics are judging last spring’s models

A passage shared by Paul Graham predicts objections about conjecture, theory and explanation will stop applying within months.

6 Sources, 7d ago, first seen 7d ago

TLDR

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Combined views

217.3K

6 Sources, first seen 7d ago

2.1K likes111 comments781 saves168 reposts

Paul Graham shared a passage arguing that skeptics who say AI cannot conjecture, theorize or explain are describing models from last spring rather than current systems.

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The passage predicts that, within months, those objections “will be describing nobody.” It also asserts that the evidence is already available, but Graham’s post does not identify particular models, benchmarks or examples. The argument is therefore a forecast about the pace of model progress, not a demonstrated comparison.

Sentiment

Positive35.1%64.9%Negative

Summary

Many accounts welcomed the rejection of AI skeptics by citing rapid gains in reasoning and abstraction, while negative replies dismissed the claims as unrealistic hype or questioned whether silicon systems could support consciousness.

Based on 78 sentiment-bearing replies from 71 accounts across 3 conversations.