No evidence of AI-driven unemployment among recent college graduates in summer 2026
A September 28 post quotes an NBER paper saying recent graduates’ unemployment rates did not spike in summer 2026 compared with previous summers, even when the measure included people who reported “wanting a job.”
TLDR
A September 28 post describes a new NBER paper as finding no evidence of AI-driven unemployment among recent college graduates. In the quoted excerpt, the paper says their unemployment rates did not spike in summer 2026 compared with previous summers or rise significantly relative to older college graduates or young workers without a college degree. Including people who reported “wanting a job” added nearly two percentage points to the rate, but the paper still found no statistically significant summer 2026 increase.
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