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US factory activity keeps growing in September as price pressures rise

Trading Economics reports the ISM manufacturing index dipped to 54.5, below the 55 forecast, while its prices index rose to 77.9.

Coin BureauCB
Crypto RoverCR
KalshiKA
6 Sources, 9d ago, first seen 9d ago

TLDR

Trading Economics reports September’s ISM manufacturing index slipped to 54.5 from 54.6, while new orders and employment improved and its prices index climbed to 77.9. The Fed’s September projections showed 16 of 18 participants saw at least one more quarter-point hike as appropriate by year-end. Kalshi said on October 1 that rates were projected to hold in November; another commentator described a hold-or-hike dilemma.

Combined views

397.7K

6 Sources, first seen 9d ago

1.4K likes125 comments42 saves167 reposts

Combined views

397.7K

6 Sources, first seen 9d ago

1.4K likes125 comments42 saves167 reposts

Sentiment

Positive53.4%46.6%Negative

Summary

Positive replies saw the ISM manufacturing print above 50 alongside cooling inflation as a healthy soft-landing scenario, while negative replies questioned the data's reliability and urged the Fed to cut rates instead of holding.

Based on 33 sentiment-bearing replies from 30 accounts across 3 conversations.

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Sentiment

Positive53.4%46.6%Negative

Summary

Positive replies saw the ISM manufacturing print above 50 alongside cooling inflation as a healthy soft-landing scenario, while negative replies questioned the data's reliability and urged the Fed to cut rates instead of holding.

Based on 33 sentiment-bearing replies from 30 accounts across 3 conversations.

10 Sources

Yahoo FinanceFed officials' forecasts project one more rate hike to come in 202624d
tradingeconomics.comUnited States ISM Manufacturing PMI
www.federalreserve.govSeptember 16, 2026: FOMC Projections materials, accessible version
Coin Bureau@coinbureau🚨JUST OUT: U.S. ISM Manufacturing came in at 54.5 in September. BELOW 55.0 expected and close to 54.6 previously. A reading above 50 means U.S. factory activity is still GROWING. Together with cooler PCE inflation and low jobless claims, the data shows the economy is still holding up. But prices paid jumped to 77.9, showing inflation pressure is STILL present. The latest print also SUPPORT the Fed having the 'room to ease', but may not need to move too fast.9d
Crypto Rover@cryptorover🚨 US ECONOMY IS STILL STRONG, AND THIS'LL CONFUSE THE FED. Just now, US ISM PMI data was released, and it came in at 54.5. This is the 9th consecutive print above 52 and shows that the US economy is in the expansion phase. Strong ISM data also means higher inflation expectations, and that's not what the Fed wants. So, this leaves them with two choices. Hold the rates and just wait. But doing that will push yields higher as the market knows inflation isn't going away soon. Hike the rates to push down inflation. But doing so will cripple the economic growth and bring even bigger challenges. This means one thing is clear: the Fed has no easy path left now.9d
Kalshi@KalshiBREAKING: Fed now projected to "maintain" interest rates next month9d
Mario Cavaggioni@CavaggioniMarioISM Manufacturing 54.5 (est 55.0, last 54.6) New Orders 55.3 (est 54.7, last 53.7) Employment 52.7 (est 52, last 51.2) Prices Paid 77.9 (est 73, last 71.1) ISM Manufacturing was weaker than expected but underlying components were strong, with higher new orders and employment.9d
Jeffry Bartash@jbartashU.S. manufacturers say inflation is bad and it's not getting any better. Tariff hangover, high oil prices, supply disruptions... "Every month, we are faced with new headwinds created by this administration," one top exec told ISM. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-manufacturers-say-inflation-is-bad-and-not-getting-any-better-8281edef?st=k7G844 via @MarketWatch9d
Reuters@ReutersUS manufacturing steady in September, input prices increase https://reut.rs/4ywZqOk https://reut.rs/4ywZqOk8d
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    Fed

    10 Sources

    Yahoo FinanceFed officials' forecasts project one more rate hike to come in 202624d
    tradingeconomics.comUnited States ISM Manufacturing PMI
    www.federalreserve.govSeptember 16, 2026: FOMC Projections materials, accessible version
    Coin Bureau@coinbureau🚨JUST OUT: U.S. ISM Manufacturing came in at 54.5 in September. BELOW 55.0 expected and close to 54.6 previously. A reading above 50 means U.S. factory activity is still GROWING. Together with cooler PCE inflation and low jobless claims, the data shows the economy is still holding up. But prices paid jumped to 77.9, showing inflation pressure is STILL present. The latest print also SUPPORT the Fed having the 'room to ease', but may not need to move too fast.9d
    Crypto Rover@cryptorover🚨 US ECONOMY IS STILL STRONG, AND THIS'LL CONFUSE THE FED. Just now, US ISM PMI data was released, and it came in at 54.5. This is the 9th consecutive print above 52 and shows that the US economy is in the expansion phase. Strong ISM data also means higher inflation expectations, and that's not what the Fed wants. So, this leaves them with two choices. Hold the rates and just wait. But doing that will push yields higher as the market knows inflation isn't going away soon. Hike the rates to push down inflation. But doing so will cripple the economic growth and bring even bigger challenges. This means one thing is clear: the Fed has no easy path left now.9d
    Kalshi@KalshiBREAKING: Fed now projected to "maintain" interest rates next month9d
    Mario Cavaggioni@CavaggioniMarioISM Manufacturing 54.5 (est 55.0, last 54.6) New Orders 55.3 (est 54.7, last 53.7) Employment 52.7 (est 52, last 51.2) Prices Paid 77.9 (est 73, last 71.1) ISM Manufacturing was weaker than expected but underlying components were strong, with higher new orders and employment.9d
    Jeffry Bartash@jbartashU.S. manufacturers say inflation is bad and it's not getting any better. Tariff hangover, high oil prices, supply disruptions... "Every month, we are faced with new headwinds created by this administration," one top exec told ISM. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/u-s-manufacturers-say-inflation-is-bad-and-not-getting-any-better-8281edef?st=k7G844 via @MarketWatch9d
    Reuters@ReutersUS manufacturing steady in September, input prices increase https://reut.rs/4ywZqOk https://reut.rs/4ywZqOk8d
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